Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.210620 0.233884 0.259642 0.290462 0.326581 0.367872 0.419088
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.169078 0.198652 0.234141 0.280559 0.340737 0.417678 0.526184
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.146993 0.179629 0.221100 0.279046 0.360298 0.474160 0.653776
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.130153 0.163670 0.208098 0.273384 0.370785 0.518001 0.774074
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.120266 0.155083 0.203004 0.276730 0.393324 0.583050 0.947929
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.108762 0.142769 0.190852 0.267355 0.393749 0.611543 1.066037
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.098639 0.131319 0.178530 0.255716 0.387935 0.627121 1.163575
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.090706 0.122289 0.168804 0.246766 0.384870 0.646523 1.276589
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.089329 0.122727 0.173372 0.261550 0.426192 0.762307 1.675374
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.090405 0.126882 0.184068 0.288158 0.495182 0.959219 2.441490
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.089004 0.127004 0.188159 0.303514 0.545222 1.132453 3.314280
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.085051 0.122715 0.184405 0.303636 0.562730 1.229921 4.015968
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.079730 0.116149 0.176723 0.296342 0.564923 1.294740 4.711421
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.074035 0.108656 0.166928 0.283957 0.553639 1.319222 5.272871
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.070440 0.104420 0.162543 0.281992 0.567378 1.429721 6.598002
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.066657 0.099598 0.156674 0.276167 0.570221 1.506682 7.927094
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.064447 0.097310 0.155229 0.279544 0.598064 1.690349 10.893028
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.060801 0.092295 0.148291 0.270035 0.588648 1.725813 12.535919
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.057165 0.087108 0.140679 0.258235 0.570665 1.719195 13.714300
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.054127 0.082826 0.134529 0.249163 0.559130 1.737584 15.513002
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.054069 0.083831 0.138625 0.264149 0.623008 2.149830 29.564423
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.055147 0.086948 0.147155 0.291131 0.735047 2.958780 95.276766
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.054902 0.087605 0.150784 0.306708 0.815867 3.730521 350.499828